SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 74.62%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 9.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Corinthians |
74.62% ( 0) | 16.06% ( -0) | 9.31% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 46.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.27% ( 0.01) | 39.73% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.92% ( 0.01) | 62.08% ( -0.01) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.91% ( 0) | 9.09% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.11% ( 0.01) | 30.88% ( -0.01) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.32% ( -0) | 48.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.27% ( -0) | 83.73% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Corinthians |
| 2-0 @ 12.72% 1-0 @ 10.61% 3-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 9.16% 3-1 @ 7.32% ( 0)4-0 @ 6.1% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.39% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.93% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.64% 5-1 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 1.58% 6-0 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3.74% Total : 74.62% | 1-1 @ 7.64% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.3% Other @ 0.71% Total : 16.06% | 0-1 @ 3.19% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 9.31% |
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