SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for an Atletico Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
55.22% ( -1.48) | 24.17% ( -0.11) | 20.61% ( 1.59) |
| Both teams to score 49.1% ( 2.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.31% ( 2.33) | 51.69% ( -2.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.53% ( 1.99) | 73.47% ( -1.99) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.4% ( 0.32) | 18.6% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.11% ( 0.54) | 49.89% ( -0.54) |
| Atletico Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.31% ( 3.09) | 39.68% ( -3.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.64% ( 2.74) | 76.36% ( -2.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 12.41% ( -1.06) 2-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.77)2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.37)3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.26)4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.17% Total : 55.22% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.71)2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.41)Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.44)0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.15)Other @ 1.35% Total : 20.61% |
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