SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Nacional | Draw | Racing Club |
40.94% ( 1.1) | 26.73% ( -0.02) | 32.33% ( -1.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.13% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.19% ( -0.13) | 53.81% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.72% ( -0.11) | 75.28% ( 0.12) |
| Atletico Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% ( 0.53) | 25.88% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.15% ( 0.71) | 60.86% ( -0.7) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.98% ( -0.77) | 31.02% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.67% ( -0.91) | 67.33% ( 0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Nacional | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.94% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 3% Total : 32.33% |
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