SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Huancayo win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Club Nacional had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Huancayo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Club Nacional win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sport Huancayo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sport Huancayo | Draw | Club Nacional |
50.96% ( 0.49) | 24.44% ( -0.08) | 24.59% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 53.17% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.25% ( -0.04) | 48.74% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.15% ( -0.03) | 70.84% ( 0.03) |
| Sport Huancayo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( 0.18) | 19.13% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.23% ( 0.3) | 50.76% ( -0.31) |
| Club Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.74% ( -0.38) | 34.25% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.04% ( -0.41) | 70.95% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sport Huancayo | Draw | Club Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 50.96% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.19% Total : 24.59% |
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