Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
