SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Nacional | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
38.71% ( -1.71) | 27.73% ( -0.27) | 33.56% ( 1.98) |
| Both teams to score 48.39% ( 1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.58% ( 1.35) | 57.42% ( -1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.77% ( 1.07) | 78.23% ( -1.06) |
| Club Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% ( -0.33) | 28.81% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.33% ( -0.41) | 64.67% ( 0.41) |
| Sporting Cristal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.97% ( 2.08) | 32.03% ( -2.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.5% ( 2.3) | 68.5% ( -2.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Nacional | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.72) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.52)3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.71% Total : 38.71% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.49)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.38)0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.36)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.29)0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.55% |
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