SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Talleres win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Cristal | Draw | Talleres |
48.52% ( -0) | 23.08% ( -0) | 28.39% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.22% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.31% ( 0.02) | 39.69% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.96% ( 0.02) | 62.04% ( -0.02) |
| Sporting Cristal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% ( 0) | 16.62% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.55% ( 0.01) | 46.44% ( -0.01) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% ( 0.01) | 26.58% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.2% ( 0.02) | 61.79% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Cristal | Draw | Talleres |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.64% 3-0 @ 4.26% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.4% Total : 48.52% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-1 @ 5.85% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 28.39% |
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