Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 49.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Santos had a probability of 24.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
