SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Academia Puerto Cabello win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Academia Puerto Cabello win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Metropolitanos win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Academia Puerto Cabello would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Draw | Metropolitanos |
45.39% ( -0.01) | 27.19% ( 0) | 27.42% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.4% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.55% ( -0) | 57.45% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.75% ( -0) | 78.25% ( 0.01) |
| Academia Puerto Cabello Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% ( -0) | 25.24% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.01% ( -0.01) | 59.99% ( 0.01) |
| Metropolitanos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.4% ( 0) | 36.6% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.61% | 73.39% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Draw | Metropolitanos |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.26% Total : 45.38% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 9.24% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.85% Total : 27.42% |
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