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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 18, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Antônio Accioly

Atletico GO
1 - 0
Antofagasta

Jorginho (12')
Henrique (32'), Pereira (32'), Airton (46')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hurtado (18'), Tello (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Atletico Goianiense and Antofagasta.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico GO 2-1 Avai
Thursday, June 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fluminense vs. Atletico GO
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Defensa 0-2 Antofagasta
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Antofagasta had a probability of 20.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for an Antofagasta win it was 0-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Goianiense in this match.

Result
Atletico GoianienseDrawAntofagasta
51.96% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 27.29% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 20.75% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 41.05% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.6% (0.027999999999999 0.03)62.4% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.97% (0.021000000000001 0.02)82.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66% (0.010999999999996 0.01)24.34% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.27% (0.015000000000001 0.02)58.74% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Antofagasta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.25% (0.027999999999999 0.03)45.75% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.48% (0.02 0.02)81.52% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Goianiense 51.95%
    Antofagasta 20.75%
    Draw 27.28%
Atletico GoianienseDrawAntofagasta
1-0 @ 15.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 51.95%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 11.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 8.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 4.81% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 20.75%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Atletico GO
Saturday, May 14 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 0-1 Goias
Sunday, May 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 3-2 Defensa
Wednesday, May 4 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Atletico GO
Saturday, April 30 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Antofagasta 2-1 Atletico GO
Thursday, April 28 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-1 Botafogo
Sunday, April 24 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Antofagasta 1-2 LDU Quito
Wednesday, May 4 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Antofagasta 2-1 Atletico GO
Thursday, April 28 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: LDU Quito 4-0 Antofagasta
Wednesday, April 13 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Antofagasta 1-3 Defensa
Thursday, April 7 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Antofagasta 0-1 Union Espanola (4-1 pen.)
Thursday, March 17 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Union Espanola 1-2 Antofagasta
Thursday, March 10 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana


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