Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 35.88%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 (12.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
