Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Antofagasta had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Antofagasta win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
