Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 42.56%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 28.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.