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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 6, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Ceara
3 - 0
The Strongest

Richardson (23'), Luis (26'), Lima (52')
Richardson (55'), Paraiba (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ursino (45'), Esparza (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ceara 1-1 Internacional
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: The Strongest 1-2 Ceara
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Ceara 2-1 The Strongest

The Strongest know that they need to win to have any hope of reaching the quarter finals, and their quest for the win could leave them vulnerable defensively, which Ceara could take advantage of to clinch a second leg victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.44%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.51%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
CearaDrawThe Strongest
56.33% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 28.13% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 15.54% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 32.26% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.43% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)69.57% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.04% (-0.016 -0.02)86.96% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.65% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)60.55%
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.39% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)56.61% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.18% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)88.82% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ceara 56.32%
    The Strongest 15.54%
    Draw 28.12%
CearaDrawThe Strongest
1-0 @ 19.75% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 13.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 56.32%
0-0 @ 14.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 28.12%
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 3.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 15.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ceara 1-1 Internacional
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: The Strongest 1-2 Ceara
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Ceara 1-1 Atletico GO
Sunday, June 26 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Ceara
Thursday, June 23 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-0 Ceara
Saturday, June 18 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, June 15 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: The Strongest 1-2 Ceara
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Libertad 4-1 The Strongest
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Caracas 0-0 The Strongest
Tuesday, May 17 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: The Strongest 5-0 Athletico PR
Tuesday, May 3 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: The Strongest 1-1 Caracas
Thursday, April 28 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 The Strongest
Thursday, April 14 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores


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