The Strongest will see it as crucial that they get an advantage on home turf, and we see them just edging out the Brazilians before heading abroad next week.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for The Strongest had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest The Strongest win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
0.04) 
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