Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 17.85%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
