Both sides sit near the top of the defensive rankings following the first 14 rounds, and there is every reason to suspect a close-fought encounter could be in store. Another league draw may frustrate Ceara, but would prove a valuable point against top-six challengers.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 48.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
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