Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
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