Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
