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Copa Libertadores | Second Round
Mar 17, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Libertad
2 - 2
U. Catolica

Ferreira (33', 64')
Baez (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chala (61'), Manuel Tevez (83' pen.)
Joel Carabali Prado (48'), De Los Santos (58')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Club Libertad and Universidad Catolica.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Club LibertadDrawUniversidad Catolica
47.94%24.6%27.47%
Both teams to score 55.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.81%47.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.58%69.42%
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25%19.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.22%51.78%
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89%31.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57%67.43%
Score Analysis
    Club Libertad 47.94%
    Universidad Catolica 27.47%
    Draw 24.59%
Club LibertadDrawUniversidad Catolica
1-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 8.08%
3-1 @ 5.1%
3-0 @ 4.37%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 1.77%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 47.94%
1-1 @ 11.63%
0-0 @ 6.14%
2-2 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 7.17%
1-2 @ 6.79%
0-2 @ 4.19%
1-3 @ 2.64%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 27.47%

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