Emelec have struggled to grind out results in recent weeks, managing just one win from their last six games across all competitions. Meanwhile, Atletico Mineiro appear to have found their rhythm once again and will be backing themselves on Tuesday. We predict a one-sided affair with the visitors coming away victorious.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Emelec had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Emelec win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
-0.55) 
0.01) 
