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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 18, 2022 at 11pm UK
Allianz Parque
E

Palmeiras
1 - 0
Emelec

Danilo (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carabali (46'), Rodriguez (53'), Ortiz (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 Botafogo
Thursday, June 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Coritiba vs. Palmeiras
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Emelec 7-0 Independiente Petrolero
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Emelec vs. Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores

We said: Palmeiras 3-1 Emelec

Palmeiras are a real force to reckon with on their own patch, and it would be hard to envisage any other outcome from this one than a home win. We are backing the hosts to cruise to a comfortable victory at the end of the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Emelec had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Emelec win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palmeiras in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Palmeiras.

Result
PalmeirasDrawEmelec
55.95% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 23.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 20.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 49.23% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.84% (0.012999999999998 0.01)51.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.99% (0.012 0.01)73.01% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.87% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)18.13% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.91% (0.013999999999996 0.01)49.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
Emelec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.13% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)39.87% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.47% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)76.53% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 55.94%
    Emelec 20.15%
    Draw 23.89%
PalmeirasDrawEmelec
1-0 @ 12.34%
2-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 55.94%
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5.22%
0-2 @ 3.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 20.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-0 Bragantino
Saturday, May 14 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-1 Fluminense
Sunday, May 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Independiente Petrolero 0-5 Palmeiras
Wednesday, May 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Emelec 1-3 Palmeiras
Thursday, April 28 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-0 Corinthians
Saturday, April 23 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 0-0 Palmeiras
Wednesday, April 20 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Tachira 1-4 Emelec
Tuesday, May 3 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Emelec 1-3 Palmeiras
Thursday, April 28 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Emelec 1-1 Tachira
Friday, April 15 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Independiente Petrolero 1-1 Emelec
Thursday, April 7 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Emelec 1-4 Talleres
Wednesday, May 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Emelec 2-0 Tolima
Wednesday, May 19 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana


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