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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 25, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio George Capwell

Emelec
7 - 0
Independiente Petrolero

Cabeza (16', 35'), Rodriguez (38', 77'), Cevallos (45+1'), Rojas (54'), Quiroga (75')
Carabali (45+3'), Arroyo (49'), Cabeza (67')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Emelec 7-0 Independiente Petrolero
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Emelec vs. Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Emelec 7-0 Independiente Petrolero
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Emelec 2-0 Independiente Petrolero

If there was a team that Emelec would have wanted to play in their final match of the group stage, the Bolivians would likely be their first choice. We anticipate El Bombillo will be able to end their woes at home against a side with nothing to play for and a defence who have been far too easy to penetrate in this competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Independiente Petrolero win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Emelec would win this match.

Result
EmelecDrawIndependiente Petrolero
48.36% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04) 22.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 28.71% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 62.03% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.27% (0.045000000000002 0.05)38.73% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.96% (0.048000000000002 0.05)61.04% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Emelec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68% (0.0040000000000049 0)16.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.1%45.9% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Independiente Petrolero Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13% (0.058999999999997 0.06)25.88% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14% (0.076000000000001 0.08)60.86% (-0.07 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Emelec 48.36%
    Independiente Petrolero 28.72%
    Draw 22.92%
EmelecDrawIndependiente Petrolero
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.83% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 48.36%
1-1 @ 10.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 28.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Emelec
Wednesday, May 18 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Tachira 1-4 Emelec
Tuesday, May 3 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Emelec 1-3 Palmeiras
Thursday, April 28 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Emelec 1-1 Tachira
Friday, April 15 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Independiente Petrolero 1-1 Emelec
Thursday, April 7 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Emelec 1-4 Talleres
Wednesday, May 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Tachira 3-0 Independiente Petrolero
Thursday, May 19 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Independiente Petrolero 0-5 Palmeiras
Wednesday, May 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Independiente Petrolero 1-2 Tachira
Tuesday, April 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 8-1 Independiente Petrolero
Wednesday, April 13 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Independiente Petrolero 1-1 Emelec
Thursday, April 7 at 3am in Copa Libertadores


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