SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 78.69%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 7.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 1-2 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
78.69% ( 0.02) | 13.45% ( -0.01) | 7.86% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.28% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.28% ( 0.04) | 31.72% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.76% ( 0.05) | 53.23% ( -0.05) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.6% ( 0.01) | 6.4% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 76.01% ( 0.03) | 23.98% ( -0.03) |
| Sporting Cristal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.72% ( 0.02) | 46.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.06% ( 0.01) | 81.93% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
| 2-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.9% ( 0)4-0 @ 7.05% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.43% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.88% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.78% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.37% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 3.82% Total : 78.68% | 1-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.32% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.9% Total : 13.45% | 1-2 @ 2.42% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.28% ( -0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 7.86% |
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