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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 20, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
SC

River Plate
4 - 2
Cristal

de la Cruz (18'), Beltran (36'), Barco (52'), Solari (61')
Fernandez (42')
Diaz (38')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Ignacio (6'), Corozo (41')
Castillo (42'), Lutiger (56'), Madrid (82')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between River Plate and Sporting Cristal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newell's OB 0-1 River Plate
Sunday, April 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Cristal 1-3 Fluminense
Thursday, April 6 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 78.69%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 7.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 1-2 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawSporting Cristal
78.69% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 13.45% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01) 7.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 50.28% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.28% (0.040999999999997 0.04)31.72% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.76% (0.048999999999999 0.05)53.23% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.6% (0.010999999999996 0.01)6.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.01% (0.031999999999996 0.03)23.98% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Sporting Cristal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.72% (0.018999999999998 0.02)46.27% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.06% (0.013999999999999 0.01)81.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 78.68%
    Sporting Cristal 7.86%
    Draw 13.45%
River PlateDrawSporting Cristal
2-0 @ 11.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 7.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 5.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 3.88% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 2.99% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.78% (0.004 0)
6-1 @ 1.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 78.68%
1-1 @ 6.27% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 2.96% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 13.45%
1-2 @ 2.42% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-1 @ 2.28% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 7.86%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-1 River Plate
Sunday, April 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-0 Gimnasia
Thursday, April 13 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 0-3 River Plate
Sunday, April 9 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: The Strongest 3-1 River Plate
Tuesday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Union
Saturday, April 1 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-2 River Plate
Monday, March 20 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Cristal 1-3 Fluminense
Thursday, April 6 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cristal 1-0 Huracan
Friday, March 17 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Huracan 0-0 Cristal
Friday, March 10 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cristal 5-1 Nacional
Wednesday, March 1 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Cristal
Tuesday, February 21 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Cristal
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores


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