Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 82.16%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Tacuary had a probability of 4.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.61%) and 3-0 (14.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.07%), while for a Tacuary win it was 0-1 (2.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
Estudiantes	Draw	Tacuary
82.16% ( 0.11)	13.37% ( -0.07)	4.46% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 29.69% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.08% (

0.11)

46.92% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.83% (

0.11)

69.17% (

-0.1)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.99% (

0.06)

9.01% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.29% (

0.13)

30.71% (

-0.13)

Tacuary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

32.63% (

-0.08)

67.37% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.02% (

-0.03)

93.98% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Estudiantes 82.16%

Tacuary 4.46%

Draw 13.37%

Estudiantes	Draw	Tacuary
2-0 @ 17.58% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 14.61% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 14.1% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0) 5-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 82.16%	0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 13.37%	0-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 4.46%