Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oriente Petrolero win with a probability of 49.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oriente Petrolero win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
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