Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
