SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 76.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 6.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.66%) and 3-0 (11.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
76.78% ( 0.86) | 16.29% ( -0.84) | 6.93% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 35.11% ( 2.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.98% ( 3.29) | 49.02% ( -3.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.9% ( 2.9) | 71.1% ( -2.9) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.06% ( 1.15) | 10.94% ( -1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.85% ( 2.49) | 35.15% ( -2.48) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.43% ( 2) | 60.57% ( -2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.06% ( 0.97) | 90.94% ( -0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortaleza | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 2-0 @ 16.22% ( -0.66) 1-0 @ 14.66% ( -1.32)3-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 6% ( 0.42)4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.37)5-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.2)5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.22)6-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.88% Total : 76.77% | 1-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.94)2-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.27% Total : 16.29% | 0-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.77% Total : 6.93% |
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