SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 12.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.17%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Fortaleza |
12.62% ( -0.48) | 22.16% ( -0.24) | 65.21% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 39.13% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.65% ( -0.05) | 56.35% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.62% ( -0.04) | 77.37% ( 0.04) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.99% ( -0.82) | 53.01% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.34% ( -0.53) | 86.66% ( 0.53) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.29% ( 0.23) | 16.71% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.39% ( 0.41) | 46.61% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 1-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.02% Total : 12.62% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.15% | 0-1 @ 15.84% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 14.17% ( 0.24)1-2 @ 9% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 8.46% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 5.37% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.78% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.35% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.13% Total : 65.2% |
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