Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 6.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.46%) and 1-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a Sportivo Trinidense win it was 0-1 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
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