Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional Potosi win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional Potosi win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional Potosi would win this match.
-1.07) 
0.25) 
