MX23RW : Thursday, July 18 14:44:24
SM
Northern Ireland vs. Italy: 3 hrs 15 mins
Upcoming predictions and previews
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 9, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Victor Agustin Ugarte
F

Nacional
4 - 1
Fortaleza

Callejo (6'), Prost (37'), Guerra (70'), Alvarez (90+3')
Hoyos (66'), Guerra (72')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Nacional Potosi and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Sportivo Trinidense 2-0 Nacional
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional Potosi win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional Potosi win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional Potosi would win this match.

Result
Nacional PotosiDrawFortaleza
42.09% (-1.067 -1.07) 24.77% (0.253 0.25) 33.13% (0.817 0.82)
Both teams to score 57.86% (-0.58000000000001 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.78% (-0.888 -0.89)45.22% (0.893 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.44% (-0.85599999999999 -0.86)67.56% (0.86 0.86)
Nacional Potosi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (-0.863 -0.86)21.51% (0.867 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43% (-1.345 -1.35)54.56% (1.35 1.35)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.72% (0.073999999999998 0.07)26.28% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.61% (0.097999999999999 0.1)61.39% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Nacional Potosi 42.09%
    Fortaleza 33.13%
    Draw 24.76%
Nacional PotosiDrawFortaleza
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-0 @ 8.69% (0.104 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-0 @ 3.42% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 42.09%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.213 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.76%
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.123 0.12)
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.299 0.3)
0-2 @ 5.05% (0.21 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.098 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 33.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sportivo Trinidense 2-0 Nacional
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fortaleza 5-0 Nacional
Wednesday, April 10 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Boca Juniors
Thursday, April 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Universitario de Vinto 0-2 Nacional
Wednesday, March 6 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: El Nacional 3-1 Nacional
Thursday, February 16 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 1-6 El Nacional
Thursday, February 9 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, May 5 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Bragantino
Sunday, April 28 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 4-2 Boca Juniors
Friday, April 26 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Cruzeiro
Thursday, April 18 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-2 Fortaleza
Sunday, April 14 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 5-0 Nacional
Wednesday, April 10 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.



. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .