Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.05%) and 0-2 (5.39%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
