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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Audax Italiano win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Audax Italiano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Audax Italiano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Audax Italiano | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
44.71% ( 0.31) | 24.92% ( -0.19) | 30.37% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 56.14% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.06% ( 0.76) | 46.94% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.81% ( 0.71) | 69.19% ( -0.71) |
| Audax Italiano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.96% ( 0.46) | 21.04% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.17% ( 0.71) | 53.83% ( -0.71) |
| Universidad Catolica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% ( 0.3) | 28.9% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% ( 0.37) | 64.77% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Audax Italiano | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.61% Total : 44.71% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.37% |
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