Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Blooming had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Blooming win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.
Result | ||
Blooming | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
28.14% ( -0.51) | 26.17% ( -0.11) | 45.68% ( 0.62) |
Both teams to score 50.81% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.73% ( 0.16) | 53.27% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.17% ( 0.14) | 74.83% ( -0.14) |
Blooming Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.21% ( -0.3) | 33.79% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.55% ( -0.33) | 70.45% ( 0.34) |
Newell's Old Boys Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.73% ( 0.37) | 23.27% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.81% ( 0.53) | 57.19% ( -0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Blooming | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.34% Total : 28.14% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.85% Total : 45.68% |
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