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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 25, 2023 at 3am UK
 

Blooming
2 - 3
Newell's OB

Rafinha (12'), Fenga (88')
Siles (79'), Romero (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gomez (36'), Latorre (58' og.), Eduardo Recalde (67')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Blooming and Newell's Old Boys.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Audax 2-0 Blooming
Friday, May 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lanus 1-0 Newell's OB
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Blooming had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Blooming win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.

Result
BloomingDrawNewell's Old Boys
28.14% (-0.507 -0.51) 26.17% (-0.108 -0.11) 45.68% (0.619 0.62)
Both teams to score 50.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.73% (0.164 0.16)53.27% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (0.14 0.14)74.83% (-0.136 -0.14)
Blooming Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21% (-0.304 -0.3)33.79% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55% (-0.332 -0.33)70.45% (0.33699999999999 0.34)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (0.366 0.37)23.27% (-0.362 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.81% (0.527 0.53)57.19% (-0.523 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Blooming 28.14%
    Newell's Old Boys 45.68%
    Draw 26.17%
BloomingDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.75% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.63% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.67% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 28.14%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 11.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 8.36% (0.124 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.41% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
0-3 @ 4.06% (0.103 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.044 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 45.68%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Audax 2-0 Blooming
Friday, May 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Newell's OB 3-0 Blooming
Tuesday, April 18 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Blooming 0-1 Santos
Wednesday, April 5 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Blooming 6-0 Municipal Vinto
Thursday, March 9 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Emelec 2-0 Blooming
Thursday, February 20 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Blooming 0-3 Emelec
Thursday, February 6 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Lanus 1-0 Newell's OB
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 2-0 Arsenal
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 2-2 Newell's OB
Monday, May 8 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-0 Santos
Wednesday, May 3 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Friday, April 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 1-0 Newell's OB
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division


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