Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
