Penarol
0 - 1
Nacional

(2-2 on aggregate)

Acosta (62'), Gonzalez (83')
Musto (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Corujo (90+11')
Cantera (20'), Fernandez (62'), Trezza (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Penarol and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Nacional
55.75%	23.23%	21.04%

Both teams to score 52.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.64%

47.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.42%

69.58%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.18%

16.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.2%

46.81%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.22%

36.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.43%

73.58%

Score Analysis

Penarol 55.75%

Nacional 21.04%

Draw 23.22%

Penarol	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 9.83% 2-0 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 5.84% 3-2 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.6% 4-2 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 0.93% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.09% Total : 55.75%	1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.22%	0-1 @ 6.19% 1-2 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 3.09% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.73% Total : 21.04%