Penarol
3 - 2
Nacional

Formiliano (28'), Terans (37'), Nahuelpan (88')
Herrera (38'), Kagelmacher (57'), Bravo (68'), Torres (82'), Urreta (90')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Neves (40'), Rodriguez (46')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Nacional
41.83%	28.03%	30.14%

Both teams to score 46.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.69%

59.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.29%

79.71%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.04%

27.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.41%

63.59%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.54%

35.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.77%

72.23%

Score Analysis

Penarol 41.83%

Nacional 30.13%

Draw 28.02%

Penarol	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 12.63% 2-1 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.77% Total : 41.83%	1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.02%	0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 5.33% 1-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.06% Total : 30.13%