Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Montevideo City Torque and Guabira.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Guabira had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Guabira win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.