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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 5, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Centenario

Torque
4 - 0
Guabira

Scotto (34'), Del Prete (71', 90+3'), Guerrero (90+1')
Pizzichillo (49'), Alvarez (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Galain (36'), Dominguez (54')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Montevideo City Torque and Guabira.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Guabira had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Guabira win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.

Result
Montevideo City TorqueDrawGuabira
37.09%27.18%35.72%
Both teams to score 50.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.88%55.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.63%76.37%
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34%28.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53%64.46%
Guabira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52%29.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.51%65.49%
Score Analysis
    Montevideo City Torque 37.08%
    Guabira 35.72%
    Draw 27.18%
Montevideo City TorqueDrawGuabira
1-0 @ 10.55%
2-1 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 3.36%
3-0 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 37.08%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 8.45%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 10.31%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-2 @ 6.3%
1-3 @ 3.21%
0-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 35.72%

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