Union La Calera
0 - 2
Velez Sarsfield

Valencia (11'), Castellani (39'), Wiemberg (43'), Martin Arias (90+6')
Castellani (64'), Valencia (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bouzat (38'), Orellano (90+5')
Caseres (19'), Martin Lucero (45+2'), Bouzat (60'), Nicolas Mulet (90+4')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Union La Calera and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Union La Calera had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Union La Calera win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Union La Calera	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
32.97%	27.02%	40.01%

Both teams to score 50.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.18%

54.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.88%

76.12%

Union La Calera Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.9%

31.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.57%

67.43%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.16%

26.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.86%

62.14%

Score Analysis

Union La Calera 32.97%

Velez Sarsfield 40.01%

Draw 27.02%

Union La Calera	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 5.69% 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.97%	1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 10.98% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 7.22% 1-3 @ 3.7% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.01%