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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 12, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán Nazar
F

Union La Calera
2 - 2
Flamengo

Martinez (8'), Arao (27' og.)
Martinez (30'), Orellana (37'), Wiemberg (84'), Iturra (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Barbosa (31' pen.), Arao (77')
Gomes (52'), De Arrascaeta (80'), Luis (89'), Henrique (90+7')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.65%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 23.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 1-0 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Union La CaleraDrawFlamengo
23.39%24.96%51.65%
Both teams to score 50.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.08%51.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33%73.67%
Union La Calera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.92%37.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.14%73.86%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91%20.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.66%52.34%
Score Analysis
    Union La Calera 23.39%
    Flamengo 51.65%
    Draw 24.96%
Union La CaleraDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 7.39%
2-1 @ 5.89%
2-0 @ 3.67%
3-1 @ 1.95%
3-2 @ 1.56%
3-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 23.39%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 7.45%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 11.95%
0-2 @ 9.59%
1-2 @ 9.52%
0-3 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 5.09%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-4 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 2.04%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 51.65%

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