SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The Strongest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The Strongest | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
| 45.46% | 25.36% | 29.17% |
| Both teams to score 53.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.56% | 49.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.52% | 71.47% |
| The Strongest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.26% | 21.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.08% | 54.91% |
| Universidad Catolica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.99% | 31.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.68% | 67.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| The Strongest | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.19% 2-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 4.68% 3-0 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.38% Total : 45.45% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.74% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.89% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.17% |
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