Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The Strongest would win this match.
