Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.62%) and 2-1 (7.34%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (12.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Sarandi would win this match.
