Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Patronato win was 1-0 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Santa Fe in this match.