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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Mar 7, 2021 at 10.20pm UK
Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella

Patronato
0 - 1
Santa Fe


Pastorelli (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Manuel Garcia (64')
Ignacio Penailillo Acuna (54'), Manuel Garcia (60')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Patronato and Santa Fe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Patronato win was 1-0 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Santa Fe in this match.

Result
PatronatoDrawSanta Fe
32.42%28.34%39.24%
Both teams to score 46.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.19%59.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.9%80.09%
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.94%34.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.26%70.74%
Santa Fe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.33%29.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.28%65.72%
Score Analysis
    Patronato 32.42%
    Santa Fe 39.23%
    Draw 28.33%
PatronatoDrawSanta Fe
1-0 @ 10.88%
2-1 @ 7.12%
2-0 @ 5.86%
3-1 @ 2.56%
3-0 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 32.42%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.33%
0-1 @ 12.27%
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 7.46%
1-3 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 1.75%
1-4 @ 0.99%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 39.23%

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