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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Mar 30, 2021 at 1.15am UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro

Tucuman
2 - 2
Newell's OB

Lotti (55'), Ortiz (80')
Alejandro Bustos (31')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Negri (33'), Lema (86')
Fernandez (23'), Cacciabue (59'), Perez (77'), Sforza (83')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Atletico Tucuman and Newell's Old Boys.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawNewell's Old Boys
42.7%26.66%30.63%
Both teams to score 50.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.93%54.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.5%75.5%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93%25.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24%59.76%
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.66%32.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.15%68.85%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 42.7%
    Newell's Old Boys 30.63%
    Draw 26.66%
Atletico TucumanDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 11.21%
2-1 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 7.76%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-0 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 42.7%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 8.11%
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 9.15%
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-2 @ 5.17%
1-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 30.63%

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