Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Santa Fe had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Santa Fe win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
