Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for La Equidad had a probability of 38.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.69%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest La Equidad win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
