Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Santa Fe had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Santa Fe win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
