Gremio
3 - 1
Lanus

Henrique (3'), Ferreira (22', 78')
Rafinha (36'), Retzalff Nunes (43'), Ruan (83'), Geromel (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Burdisso (6')
Burdisso (45+1'), Aguirre (66'), Morales (78')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Gremio and Lanus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 56.63%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 21.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Lanus win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Lanus
56.63%	21.67%	21.69%

Both teams to score 58.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.39%

39.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.04%

61.95%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.15%

13.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.77%

41.22%

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.22%

31.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.79%

68.2%

Score Analysis

Gremio 56.63%

Lanus 21.69%

Draw 21.67%

Gremio	Draw	Lanus
2-1 @ 9.86% 1-0 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 6.5% 3-0 @ 5.67% 3-2 @ 3.73% 4-1 @ 3.21% 4-0 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.27% 5-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.36% Total : 56.63%	1-1 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 5.65% 0-0 @ 4.4% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.67%	1-2 @ 5.72% 0-1 @ 5.04% 0-2 @ 2.89% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.58% Total : 21.69%