Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Lanus win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.