Sarmiento
1 - 2
River Plate

Alanis (12')
Montoya (19'), Salvareschi (52'), Mancinelli (65')
Salvareschi (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Carrascal (34'), Perez (90+1')
Jeremias Fernandez (46'), Fontana (86'), Paradela (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Sarmiento and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 61.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 15.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.33%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
Sarmiento	Draw	River Plate
15.92%	22.92%	61.16%

Both teams to score 44.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.66%

53.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.11%

74.88%

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.77%

46.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.1%

81.9%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.95%

17.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.79%

47.21%

Score Analysis

Sarmiento 15.92%

River Plate 61.16%

Draw 22.91%

Sarmiento	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 6.08% 2-1 @ 4.15% 2-0 @ 2.35% 3-1 @ 1.07% 3-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.33% Total : 15.92%	1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.61% Total : 22.91%	0-1 @ 13.94% 0-2 @ 12.33% 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-3 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 5.61% 0-4 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-5 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.52% Total : 61.16%