Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 61.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 15.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.33%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
Result | ||
Sarmiento | Draw | River Plate |
15.92% | 22.92% | 61.16% |
Both teams to score 44.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.66% | 53.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.11% | 74.88% |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.77% | 46.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.1% | 81.9% |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.95% | 17.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.79% | 47.21% |
Score Analysis |
Sarmiento | Draw | River Plate |
1-0 @ 6.08% 2-1 @ 4.15% 2-0 @ 2.35% 3-1 @ 1.07% 3-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.33% Total : 15.92% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.61% Total : 22.91% | 0-1 @ 13.94% 0-2 @ 12.33% 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-3 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 5.61% 0-4 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-5 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.52% Total : 61.16% |
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